メインコンテンツへスキップ
見出し画像

【October 5, 2025】Approaching 20,000: Strong Trend Stock — Short-Term 1–5 Day Levels and Buy/Exit Guidelines (For Beginners to Intermediate Investors)

  • 割引あり

Closing up +3.55% with the 20,000 level just ahead. Chasing highs blindly can be risky, but letting this move pass by is also painful. For those who are uncertain whether to buy or wait, here is a numbers-based roadmap that clarifies the situation. Even the free section works as a checklist for the coming days.

note link: https://note.com/novel_iguana7053

【Today’s Market Overview (Numbers)】
・Closing Price: 19,980 yen (+685 yen, +3.55%)
・Volume: approx. 15.3M (above 20-day average)
・Trend: Short-term > Mid-term > Long-term averages all sloping upward (classic uptrend alignment)
・Relative Strength Index (14): ~67.8 (near base ~68.2, below 70 = not yet overbought)
・Oscillator (%K/%D): ~35.4 / 33.7, turning upward (rebound from lower zone)
・Volume Profile (VPVR): heavy concentration around 19,100 yen = important “support guard”

【Key Levels (Summarized in Numbers)】
Upside targets: 20,000 (psychological level) → ~20,350 → ~20,800
Downside supports: 19,900 (recent resistance-turned-support) / 19,090 (volume zone) / 18,245 (lower pivot)

【1–5 Day Outlook (Probability Estimates)】
① Uptrend continuation 55%: Clear breakout above 20,000 (close sustained with >1.2× 20-day average volume). Targets: 20,350 → 20,800.
② Sideways 30%: Range 19,100–19,900, awaiting breakout.
③ Pullback 15%: Below 19,090 = risk of testing 18,700–18,250 zone.

【For Beginners/Intermediate Investors】
・Use numeric thresholds: Entry = confirmed breakout or bounce from support.
・Check momentum: Volume >1.2× 20-day average + higher highs/lows on 5-min chart.
・Overheating: RSI >70 signals caution, but in band expansion the move may extend.
・Pre-set exit: Define stop before entry. Use “price × volume” as judgment.

▼ Free section ends here (educational analysis only, not investment advice).

――――――――――――――――
【Paid Section Begins】
By reading this article, you will solve the question of “when to buy / when to exit.”
The stock name and code are written at the very end of the paid section.

あなたへのおすすめ